Measles Case Projections Fall Sharply in Prediction Markets as U.S. Health Outlook Improves

Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
46.5%
→
30.0%-35.5%
Prediction market odds on reaching 1,600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026 dropped 16.5 percentage points to 30%, suggesting traders are pricing in a lower disease trajectory despite ongoing vaccination challenges.