AI-Powered Prediction Market News

U.S. Iran Invasion Market Holds at 30.5% as Geopolitical Tensions Persist

World News

U.S. Iran Invasion Market Holds at 30.5% as Geopolitical Tensions Persist

Prediction markets are pricing a roughly one-in-three chance of a U.S. military invasion of Iran by end-2026, reflecting persistent regional tensions ...

9. 5. 2026, 03:17:39 · +0.0%

SpaceX IPO ticker market prices $SEX symbol at 1.6% probability

Business

SpaceX IPO ticker market prices $SEX symbol at 1.6% probability

A prediction market on SpaceX's eventual IPO ticker symbol assigns just 1.6% odds to the company choosing $SEX as its public listing symbol, reflectin...

9. 5. 2026, 02:47:30 · +0.0%

Prediction Market Prices Jesus Return and GTA VI Launch as Near-Coin Flip

Entertainment

Prediction Market Prices Jesus Return and GTA VI Launch as Near-Coin Flip

A high-volume prediction market assessing whether the Second Coming of Jesus Christ will occur before Grand Theft Auto VI's US release is trading at n...

9. 5. 2026, 02:17:20 · +0.0%

Nuclear Talks With Iran Seen as Unlikely by Mid-2026, Markets Price in 31% Deal Probability

World News

Nuclear Talks With Iran Seen as Unlikely by Mid-2026, Markets Price in 31% Deal Probability

9. 5. 2026, 02:17:04 · +0.0%

Fed Rate Hike in 2026 Priced at Just 17.5%, Reflecting Disinflationary Outlook

Business

Fed Rate Hike in 2026 Priced at Just 17.5%, Reflecting Disinflationary Outlook

9. 5. 2026, 02:16:50 · +0.0%

MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sales Unlikely Through June 2026, Markets Price in Just 1.8% Probability

Crypto

MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sales Unlikely Through June 2026, Markets Price in Just 1.8% Probability

9. 5. 2026, 00:46:40 · +0.0%

UK Betting Markets Price 40% Chance Starmer Exits by Mid-2026

Politics

UK Betting Markets Price 40% Chance Starmer Exits by Mid-2026

9. 5. 2026, 00:16:31 · +0.0%

Epstein Alive Market Trades at 4.2% as Conspiracy Theories Persist Despite 2019 Death

World News

Epstein Alive Market Trades at 4.2% as Conspiracy Theories Persist Despite 2019 Death

8. 5. 2026, 23:46:22 · +0.0%

Sweden at 1.3% odds to win Eurovision 2026 televote, long-shot status reflects competitive field

Entertainment

Sweden at 1.3% odds to win Eurovision 2026 televote, long-shot status reflects competitive field

8. 5. 2026, 23:16:13 · +0.0%

Market Prices 2026 as Extreme Outlier in Global Temperature Rankings, Assigns 0.5% Odds to Top-Five Placement

Science

Market Prices 2026 as Extreme Outlier in Global Temperature Rankings, Assigns 0.5% Odds to Top-Five Placement

8. 5. 2026, 23:15:57 · +0.0%

Fed Rate Hike Odds Minimal Ahead of June 2026 Meeting

Business

Fed Rate Hike Odds Minimal Ahead of June 2026 Meeting

8. 5. 2026, 23:15:42 · +0.0%

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Odds at 9.5% Through Mid-2026, Signaling Market Skepticism on Near-Term Peace

World News

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Odds at 9.5% Through Mid-2026, Signaling Market Skepticism on Near-Term Peace

8. 5. 2026, 23:15:27 · +0.0%

Claude 5 Release by May 2026 Priced at 11% as Anthropic Pursues Measured Development Path

Science

Claude 5 Release by May 2026 Priced at 11% as Anthropic Pursues Measured Development Path

9. 5. 2026, 03:17:53 · +0.0%

Iranian Regime Collapse Market Prices in Remote Risk at 6.5% by June 2026

World News

Iranian Regime Collapse Market Prices in Remote Risk at 6.5% by June 2026

8. 5. 2026, 22:45:17 · +0.0%

Bitcoin All-Time High by Mid-2026 Seen as Unlikely at 2.5% Odds

Crypto

Bitcoin All-Time High by Mid-2026 Seen as Unlikely at 2.5% Odds

8. 5. 2026, 21:45:07 · +0.0%

GTA VI Release Before June 2026 Priced as Highly Unlikely at 1% Probability

Entertainment

GTA VI Release Before June 2026 Priced as Highly Unlikely at 1% Probability

8. 5. 2026, 20:14:57 · +0.0%

Doge-1 Lunar Mission Faces Long Odds for 2026 Launch, Traders Price in Delays

Science

Doge-1 Lunar Mission Faces Long Odds for 2026 Launch, Traders Price in Delays

8. 5. 2026, 20:14:44 · +0.0%

OpenAI IPO Market Values $1 Trillion Debut as Roughly Even Bet

Business

OpenAI IPO Market Values $1 Trillion Debut as Roughly Even Bet

8. 5. 2026, 20:14:28 · +0.0%

Al Mina holds minimal 1.4% odds for Virginia Republican Senate nomination

Politics

Al Mina holds minimal 1.4% odds for Virginia Republican Senate nomination

8. 5. 2026, 20:14:14 · +0.0%

Prediction Market Prices Israeli or US Strike on Iranian Nuclear Facility at Certainty

World News

Prediction Market Prices Israeli or US Strike on Iranian Nuclear Facility at Certainty

8. 5. 2026, 19:44:05 · +0.0%

Israel striking 3 countries in 2026 seen as unlikely but plausible; market prices at 35% probability

World News

Israel striking 3 countries in 2026 seen as unlikely but plausible; market prices at 35% probability

8. 5. 2026, 19:43:50 · +0.0%

Iranian Regime Collapse Market Holds at 2.6% Odds Through May 2026

World News

Iranian Regime Collapse Market Holds at 2.6% Odds Through May 2026

8. 5. 2026, 19:13:40 · +0.0%

SpaceX IPO Before 2027 Trades at 91.6% Probability as Market Eyes Regulatory Path

Business

SpaceX IPO Before 2027 Trades at 91.6% Probability as Market Eyes Regulatory Path

8. 5. 2026, 17:13:05 · +0.0%

Moon Landing Odds Remain Slim for 2026 as NASA Faces Artemis Schedule Pressures

Science

Moon Landing Odds Remain Slim for 2026 as NASA Faces Artemis Schedule Pressures

8. 5. 2026, 16:42:57 · +0.0%