AI-Powered Prediction Market News

Business

Kraken IPO Odds Settle at 16.5%, Reflecting Regulatory Headwinds and Uncertain Timeline

Prediction market participants are pricing a 16.5% probability that cryptocurrency exchange Kraken will go public by the end of 2026, down from 21% a ...

9. 8. 2026, 07:23:20 · -21.4%

Crypto

Bitcoin at 14.5% to Hit $60K Before $80K as Market Prices in Upside Momentum

Prediction markets are assigning just 14.5% odds to Bitcoin reaching $60,000 before $80,000 by end of 2026, reflecting trader conviction that the cryp...

10. 8. 2026, 14:39:10 · +0.0%

Business

Federal Funds Rate Expected Well Below 4.5% by End of 2026, Market Pricing Shows

Prediction markets assign just 1.6% odds that the Federal Reserve's target federal funds rate upper bound will reach 4.5% or higher by December 2026, ...

10. 8. 2026, 13:38:27 · +0.0%

World News

U.S.-Russia Military Clash Seen as Remote Risk Through 2026, Priced at 4% Probability

10. 8. 2026, 13:38:13 · +0.0%

Politics

Trump Nobel Peace Prize Odds Hold Steady at 6.5% Ahead of 2026 Award

10. 8. 2026, 13:08:02 · +0.0%

Crypto

Bitcoin market assigns 10% odds to Satoshi moving coins in 2026

10. 8. 2026, 11:37:50 · +0.0%

Science

2026 Temperature Forecast: Market Prices Extreme Skepticism at 0.5% for Fifth-Hottest Year

10. 8. 2026, 10:37:20 · +0.0%

Business

Fed Rate Hike in 2026 Seen as Unlikely at 17.5% Probability

10. 8. 2026, 10:37:05 · +0.0%

World News

China-Taiwan Military Clash Odds Remain Subdued at 8.5% Through 2026

10. 8. 2026, 10:36:51 · +0.0%

Politics

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Odds Remain Negligible at 0.3% Despite High Market Activity

10. 8. 2026, 10:06:39 · +0.0%

Crypto

Ethereum All-Time High by End of 2026 Seen as Long Shot at 13.5% Odds

10. 8. 2026, 08:36:28 · +0.0%

Politics

Raman Positioned as Credible Contender in 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Race at 34% Odds

10. 8. 2026, 08:06:18 · +1.8%

Science

Doge-1 Lunar Mission Faces Long Odds for 2026 Launch Window

10. 8. 2026, 07:35:53 · +0.0%

World News

Isfahan Nuclear Facility Strike Seen as Certain by Market; Traders Betting on Israel or US Action by March 2026

10. 8. 2026, 07:35:38 · +0.0%

Business

OpenAI IPO market values 60% probability of $1T-plus debut valuation

10. 8. 2026, 07:05:27 · +0.0%

World News

Iran Leadership Succession Market Prices One-in-Three Odds of Khamenei Transition by Year-End

10. 8. 2026, 07:05:12 · +0.0%

World News

Market Prices US Military Entry into Iran as Highly Unlikely by Year-End

10. 8. 2026, 06:35:02 · +0.0%

Crypto

Ethereum's Top-Two Dominance in Question: Market Assigns 40% Odds to 2026 Flipping

10. 8. 2026, 05:34:53 · +0.0%

Science

Moon Landing Odds for 2026 Priced at 4.3%, Well Below NASA's Artemis Timeline

10. 8. 2026, 04:34:29 · +0.0%

Business

Nebius Acquisition Odds Hold Steady at 19% Through End of 2026

10. 8. 2026, 04:04:19 · +0.0%

Politics

Trump Removal Before 2027 Priced at 13.5% as Market Reflects Low Near-Term Exit Risk

10. 8. 2026, 04:04:05 · +0.0%

World News

Israel-Hezbollah Ceasefire Extension Priced at Certainty as April 16 Agreement Takes Hold

10. 8. 2026, 03:33:46 · +0.0%

Entertainment

Richard Van De Water Given 4.3% Odds to Win The Bachelorette Season 22

10. 8. 2026, 01:33:08 · +0.0%

Science

Retatrutide FDA Approval Odds at 23.5% Through 2026 as Eli Lilly Advances Obesity Drug Trials

10. 8. 2026, 01:32:55 · +0.0%