AI-Powered Prediction Market News

Politics

Prediction Markets Give Mojtaba Khamenei 65% Odds of Running Iran by End of 2026

Traders are pricing a two-in-three probability that Mojtaba Khamenei, son of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, will exercise de facto control ove...

23. 6. 2026, 04:44:16 · +0.0%

Business

SpaceX IPO Ticker Market Values $SEX Symbol at 1.6% Probability

A prediction market on SpaceX's eventual IPO ticker symbol assigns just 1.6% odds to the company choosing $SEX as its public trading symbol, reflectin...

23. 6. 2026, 02:43:09 · +0.0%

World News

Xi Jinping removal odds hold at 2.2% ahead of mid-2026 deadline

Prediction markets assign a 2.2% probability that China's Communist Party leader will be removed from power by June 30, 2026, reflecting the instituti...

23. 6. 2026, 02:12:45 · +0.0%

Politics

Iran invasion odds hold at 30.5% as traders price in geopolitical uncertainty through 2026

23. 6. 2026, 01:42:36 · +0.0%

Science

Category 4 US Hurricane Landfall Before 2027 Priced at 35% in Prediction Market

23. 6. 2026, 04:14:06 · +0.0%

Business

Morgan Stanley's SpaceX IPO Lead Role Priced at 46% as Market Weighs Banking Competitive Dynamics

23. 6. 2026, 03:43:57 · +0.0%

World News

Iran Nuclear Deal Odds Hold Steady at 31.5% With Six Months to Deadline

22. 6. 2026, 23:11:41 · +0.0%

Business

Strait of Hormuz Transit Recovery Seen as Coin Flip; Market at 45.5% for June Normalization

22. 6. 2026, 23:11:26 · +0.0%

Politics

Graham Platner Heavily Favored as Maine Democratic Senate Nominee with 98.8% Odds

22. 6. 2026, 22:41:17 · +0.0%

Business

Kraken's 2026 IPO Seen as Unlikely to Claim Largest Market Cap Among Public Offerings

23. 6. 2026, 03:13:19 · +0.0%

World News

Israel Strike Market Prices 35% Probability of Multi-Country Aerial Campaign in 2026

22. 6. 2026, 22:11:09 · +0.0%

Business

Tariff Refund Market Prices in 81.5% Odds of Trump Appeal Loss and Importer Compensation

23. 6. 2026, 02:42:55 · +0.0%

World News

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by Mid-2026 Priced at Just 9.5%, Reflecting Entrenched Conflict

22. 6. 2026, 21:40:58 · +0.0%

Crypto

MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sale by June 2026 Priced at Mere 1.8% Probability

22. 6. 2026, 21:10:46 · +0.0%

Science

Prediction Market Prices High Odds for 8+ Major Earthquakes in Next Seven Months

22. 6. 2026, 20:10:11 · +0.0%

Business

AI Industry Downturn Market Priced at 19% Probability Through End of 2026

22. 6. 2026, 19:40:02 · +0.0%

World News

Trump Nobel Peace Prize Odds Hold at 6.5% as 2026 Award Remains Distant

22. 6. 2026, 19:09:52 · +0.0%

Politics

US Acquisition of Iranian Enriched Uranium Priced at 8.5% Through May 2026

22. 6. 2026, 18:39:42 · +0.0%

Crypto

Solana ATH by Mid-2026 Priced at Minimal Odds; Market Sees Limited Room for New Records

23. 6. 2026, 00:12:28 · +0.0%

Crypto

Bitcoin All-Time High by Mid-2026 Priced at 2.5% Odds on Binance

22. 6. 2026, 18:09:32 · +0.0%

Science

Magnitude 7.0+ Earthquakes in 2026: Market Prices 24% Probability of 11-13 Major Events

22. 6. 2026, 23:41:51 · +0.0%

Entertainment

Prediction Market Values Jesus's Return and GTA VI Release as Near-Equal Events

22. 6. 2026, 17:09:23 · +0.0%

Science

2026 Fifth-Hottest Year Market Priced at Negligible Odds Despite Warming Trend

22. 6. 2026, 17:09:07 · +0.0%

Business

Musk Trillionaire Bet Holds Steady at 71.5% Odds Through 2026

22. 6. 2026, 16:38:59 · +0.0%