AI-Powered Prediction Market News

Crypto

Stablecoin Market Cap at $500B by 2026 Seen as Unlikely, Trading at 8.5% Odds

Prediction markets are assigning just an 8.5% probability to stablecoins reaching a $500 billion market cap before the end of 2026, implying skepticis...

7. 8. 2026, 14:32:33 · +0.0%

Politics

Bennett given one-in-three odds to become Israel's next PM after 2026 election

Prediction markets are pricing Naftali Bennett at a 33% probability of becoming Israel's next Prime Minister following October 2026 legislative electi...

7. 8. 2026, 14:32:04 · +0.0%

Science

US Alien Confirmation Market Holds at 17.5% Odds Through 2026

A prediction market assessing the probability of official US government confirmation of extraterrestrial life or technology by end-2026 is trading at ...

7. 8. 2026, 13:01:14 · +0.0%

World News

Prediction Market Prices Mojtaba Khamenei's Rise to Iran Leadership at 65%

7. 8. 2026, 12:30:47 · +0.0%

Crypto

Bitcoin $150K Target by End-2026 Priced at 3.7% Probability, Requiring 240% Rally

7. 8. 2026, 11:30:34 · +2.8%

Politics

LDPR Long Shot in 2026 Russian Elections as Market Assigns 5% Probability to Seat Gains

7. 8. 2026, 11:30:15 · +0.0%

Science

Volcanic Eruption Market Prices Zero Major Events in 2026 at Slight Majority Odds

7. 8. 2026, 11:00:04 · +0.0%

Business

NVIDIA's Path to World's Largest Company Cap Seen as Even Bet

7. 8. 2026, 10:29:52 · +0.0%

Business

Kraken IPO Odds Decline to 17% as Exchange Faces Regulatory Headwinds

7. 8. 2026, 05:57:41 · -19.0%

Business

SpaceX IPO Market Values Near-Certainty of $1T+ Valuation on First Trading Day

7. 8. 2026, 09:59:41 · +0.0%

World News

Iran Nuclear Weapon by 2027 Priced at 9.6% Probability in Prediction Market

7. 8. 2026, 09:29:15 · +0.0%

Business

SBF Release by 2026 Priced at 7.5%, Reflecting Lengthy Legal Timeline

7. 8. 2026, 13:31:28 · +0.0%

Politics

Ukraine Crimea Recapture Market Prices Low Odds Despite Ongoing War

7. 8. 2026, 08:28:45 · +0.0%

World News

Tarcisio de Freitas holds negligible 0.1% odds in 2026 Brazilian presidential race

7. 8. 2026, 07:58:19 · +0.0%

Business

Bernard Arnault's Path to Richest Person Status Seen as Highly Unlikely by Year-End 2026

7. 8. 2026, 12:31:02 · +0.0%

Entertainment

Prediction Market on Clavicular Pregnancy Announcement Priced at 99.9% Through 2026

7. 8. 2026, 06:28:07 · +0.0%

Politics

Tom Steyer's California Governor Bid Priced at 0.1%, Reflecting Long-Shot Status in 2026 Race

7. 8. 2026, 05:27:30 · +0.0%

Crypto

Crypto Market Clarity Act Favored at 68% Odds for 2026 Passage

7. 8. 2026, 04:57:21 · +0.0%

World News

Asselineau Given Minimal Odds in 2027 French Presidential Race

7. 8. 2026, 04:57:05 · +0.0%

Entertainment

Bruno Mars Faces Steep Odds in 2026 Spotify Streaming Crown Race

7. 8. 2026, 09:29:30 · +0.0%

Science

GPT-6 Release Odds Surge to 41.5% as Market Reassesses OpenAI Timeline

6. 8. 2026, 15:54:56 · +130.6%

Politics

UK Markets Price 65% Chance Starmer Leaves Office by End of 2026

7. 8. 2026, 02:26:04 · +0.0%

World News

Israel Striking Three Countries in 2026 Seen as Unlikely but Plausible at 35% Probability

7. 8. 2026, 01:55:36 · +0.0%

World News

Iran Invasion Scenario Priced at 30% as U.S. Military Tensions Remain Elevated

7. 8. 2026, 01:25:23 · +0.0%