Business News

Fed Rate Cut Outlook for 2026 Shifts as Market Prices in Potential Pause

Business

Fed Rate Cut Outlook for 2026 Shifts as Market Prices in Potential Pause

Prediction markets now assign a 36.2% probability to zero Fed rate cuts in 2026, up from 31% a day prior, reflecting growing uncertainty about the tra...

4. 4. 2026, 06:36:08 · +16.8%

Alphabet Seen as Long Shot to Top Global Market Cap by Mid-2026

Business

Alphabet Seen as Long Shot to Top Global Market Cap by Mid-2026

Prediction markets assign a 6.3% probability to Alphabet becoming the world's largest company by market capitalization on June 30, 2026, reflecting en...

4. 4. 2026, 08:06:53 · +0.0%

SpaceX IPO Valued at $2.5T–$3.0T Range Seen as Long Shot, Traders Price in Higher Valuations

Business

SpaceX IPO Valued at $2.5T–$3.0T Range Seen as Long Shot, Traders Price in Higher Valuations

A prediction market on SpaceX's opening-day market capitalization assigns just 7% odds to a $2.5T–$3.0T range, suggesting traders expect a substanti...

4. 4. 2026, 07:36:43 · +35.6%

OpenAI IPO Market Sees 59% Odds of $1 Trillion Valuation on Debut

Business

OpenAI IPO Market Sees 59% Odds of $1 Trillion Valuation on Debut

4. 4. 2026, 03:34:58 · +11.3%

SpaceX IPO Ticker Symbol Market Prices $SEX at 1.3% Probability; Elon Musk Naming Conventions in Focus

Business

SpaceX IPO Ticker Symbol Market Prices $SEX at 1.3% Probability; Elon Musk Naming Conventions in Focus

4. 4. 2026, 03:04:34 · -49.0%

Fed Rate Hike Odds Near Historic Lows Ahead of July 2026 Meeting

Business

Fed Rate Hike Odds Near Historic Lows Ahead of July 2026 Meeting

4. 4. 2026, 03:04:18 · -12.6%

Fannie Mae IPO Odds Slip as Traders Reassess Government Housing Policy

Business

Fannie Mae IPO Odds Slip as Traders Reassess Government Housing Policy

4. 4. 2026, 00:02:14 · -47.6%

SBF Release by 2026 Priced at 9.5%, Reflecting Low Odds of Early Exit from Custody

Business

SBF Release by 2026 Priced at 9.5%, Reflecting Low Odds of Early Exit from Custody

4. 4. 2026, 10:07:59 · +0.0%

US Recession by End of 2026 Priced at 28.5%, Down from 32.5% as Economic Outlook Stabilizes

Business

US Recession by End of 2026 Priced at 28.5%, Down from 32.5% as Economic Outlook Stabilizes

3. 4. 2026, 08:53:53 · -12.3%

Elon Musk-Ryanair Acquisition Odds Remain Negligible at 1.6% Despite January Speculation

Business

Elon Musk-Ryanair Acquisition Odds Remain Negligible at 1.6% Despite January Speculation

3. 4. 2026, 11:55:09 · +6.9%

Strait of Hormuz Traffic Recovery Seen as Unlikely by April 2026, Traders Price Risk at 12.5%

Business

Strait of Hormuz Traffic Recovery Seen as Unlikely by April 2026, Traders Price Risk at 12.5%

2. 4. 2026, 10:14:41 · -45.7%

Fed Rate Cut Outlook for April 2026 Shows Minimal Market Conviction in 50+ Basis Point Move

Business

Fed Rate Cut Outlook for April 2026 Shows Minimal Market Conviction in 50+ Basis Point Move

3. 4. 2026, 05:52:46 · +0.0%

Nebius Group Acquisition Odds Held at 15.5% Through 2026, Reflecting Low Near-Term M&A Expectations

Business

Nebius Group Acquisition Odds Held at 15.5% Through 2026, Reflecting Low Near-Term M&A Expectations

3. 4. 2026, 03:50:18 · +0.0%

Fed Rate-Cut Expectations Minimal Ahead of June 2026 Meeting, Traders Price in 1% Probability of 50+ bps Reduction

Business

Fed Rate-Cut Expectations Minimal Ahead of June 2026 Meeting, Traders Price in 1% Probability of 50+ bps Reduction

3. 4. 2026, 02:14:33 · +18.7%

SpaceX IPO Market Prices in Near-Certainty of $1T Valuation on Day One

Business

SpaceX IPO Market Prices in Near-Certainty of $1T Valuation on Day One

2. 4. 2026, 10:45:16 · +3.2%

Inflation Odds Overwhelmingly Favor 2.8% or Higher Annual Rate by March 2026

Business

Inflation Odds Overwhelmingly Favor 2.8% or Higher Annual Rate by March 2026

2. 4. 2026, 20:51:39 · -0.1%

Fed Funds Rate at 4.5% or Higher by End-2026 Seen as Unlikely at 8% Odds

Business

Fed Funds Rate at 4.5% or Higher by End-2026 Seen as Unlikely at 8% Odds

2. 4. 2026, 07:13:18 · +162.3%

AI Industry Downturn by End of 2026 Priced at 20% Probability in Prediction Market

Business

AI Industry Downturn by End of 2026 Priced at 20% Probability in Prediction Market

2. 4. 2026, 17:22:37 · -1.5%

Morgan Stanley Given Near-Even Odds for SpaceX IPO Lead Underwriter Role

Business

Morgan Stanley Given Near-Even Odds for SpaceX IPO Lead Underwriter Role

3. 4. 2026, 04:21:59 · +10.5%

SpaceX IPO by April 2026 Priced at Minimal Risk Despite Company Growth

Business

SpaceX IPO by April 2026 Priced at Minimal Risk Despite Company Growth

3. 4. 2026, 04:21:30 · -26.1%

Saudi Aramco Given Slim 1.4% Odds to Become World's Largest Company by End of 2026

Business

Saudi Aramco Given Slim 1.4% Odds to Become World's Largest Company by End of 2026

2. 4. 2026, 23:12:58 · +0.0%

Tim Cook Departure Before 2027 Priced at 31%, Reflecting Leadership Stability Expectations

Business

Tim Cook Departure Before 2027 Priced at 31%, Reflecting Leadership Stability Expectations

2. 4. 2026, 22:24:16 · -3.1%

Fannie Mae IPO Odds Surge to 35% as Market Prices in Privatization Path

Business

Fannie Mae IPO Odds Surge to 35% as Market Prices in Privatization Path

1. 4. 2026, 13:47:29 · +159.3%

OpenAI IPO Valuation Expectations Fall 15.5 Points Below $1.2T Threshold

Business

OpenAI IPO Valuation Expectations Fall 15.5 Points Below $1.2T Threshold

1. 4. 2026, 12:11:48 · -27.9%