Business News

xAI's Path to AI Leaderboard Top Spot Priced at 10.5% Through June 2026

Business

xAI's Path to AI Leaderboard Top Spot Priced at 10.5% Through June 2026

Prediction market traders assign only a 10.5% probability to xAI achieving the #1 position on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard by mid-2026, reflectin...

20. 5. 2026, 18:55:40 · +0.0%

Nebius Acquisition Odds Hold Steady at 19% Through 2026

Business

Nebius Acquisition Odds Hold Steady at 19% Through 2026

Prediction market participants assign a modest 19% probability that Nebius Group will be acquired before the end of 2026, with stable pricing and subs...

20. 5. 2026, 18:25:16 · +0.0%

AI Industry Downturn Market Holds at 19% as Tech Sector Maintains Resilience Through 2026

Business

AI Industry Downturn Market Holds at 19% as Tech Sector Maintains Resilience Through 2026

Prediction markets are pricing an approximately one-in-five chance that the AI industry experiences a significant downturn by end of 2026, with the ba...

20. 5. 2026, 17:24:42 · +0.0%

Musk Trillionaire Bet Holds Steady at 71.5% as Market Prices Rapid Wealth Accumulation

Business

Musk Trillionaire Bet Holds Steady at 71.5% as Market Prices Rapid Wealth Accumulation

20. 5. 2026, 14:23:19 · +0.0%

US Recession Odds Held at 23.5% Through End of 2026 as Economic Uncertainty Persists

Business

US Recession Odds Held at 23.5% Through End of 2026 as Economic Uncertainty Persists

20. 5. 2026, 11:22:09 · +0.0%

Morgan Stanley Given Even Odds to Lead SpaceX IPO Underwriting

Business

Morgan Stanley Given Even Odds to Lead SpaceX IPO Underwriting

20. 5. 2026, 14:23:33 · +0.0%

SCOTUS Sports Betting Case Odds Hold Steady at 13.5%, Reflecting Low Near-Term Likelihood

Business

SCOTUS Sports Betting Case Odds Hold Steady at 13.5%, Reflecting Low Near-Term Likelihood

20. 5. 2026, 08:20:13 · +0.0%

OpenAI IPO by end-2026 priced at 1-in-4 odds, reflecting uncertain timeline

Business

OpenAI IPO by end-2026 priced at 1-in-4 odds, reflecting uncertain timeline

20. 5. 2026, 04:12:05 · +0.0%

Fed Funds Rate Seen Staying Well Below 4.5% Through 2026, Market Pricing Just 1.6% Chance of Higher Rates

Business

Fed Funds Rate Seen Staying Well Below 4.5% Through 2026, Market Pricing Just 1.6% Chance of Higher Rates

20. 5. 2026, 03:41:55 · +0.0%

SpaceX IPO Market Prices 12.7% Odds of $2.5T-$3T Valuation on First Day

Business

SpaceX IPO Market Prices 12.7% Odds of $2.5T-$3T Valuation on First Day

20. 5. 2026, 00:40:45 · +0.0%

Tesla's Odds of Becoming World's Largest Company by Mid-2026 Remain Negligible at 0.4%

Business

Tesla's Odds of Becoming World's Largest Company by Mid-2026 Remain Negligible at 0.4%

19. 5. 2026, 23:09:34 · +0.0%

OpenAI IPO Valuation Bet: Market Assigns 9% Odds to $1.25T-$1.5T Opening Range

Business

OpenAI IPO Valuation Bet: Market Assigns 9% Odds to $1.25T-$1.5T Opening Range

19. 5. 2026, 22:39:25 · +0.0%

SpaceX IPO Market Values 15% Odds of $3 Trillion Opening Valuation

Business

SpaceX IPO Market Values 15% Odds of $3 Trillion Opening Valuation

20. 5. 2026, 04:42:29 · +0.0%

NVIDIA given slight edge to remain world's largest company by end of 2026

Business

NVIDIA given slight edge to remain world's largest company by end of 2026

19. 5. 2026, 19:38:14 · +0.0%

SpaceX IPO Market Values $1 Trillion Valuation as Highly Likely, but Path Remains Uncertain

Business

SpaceX IPO Market Values $1 Trillion Valuation as Highly Likely, but Path Remains Uncertain

19. 5. 2026, 18:37:42 · +0.0%

Musk-Ryanair Acquisition Odds Remain Minimal at 1.2% Despite Billionaire's Social Media Comment

Business

Musk-Ryanair Acquisition Odds Remain Minimal at 1.2% Despite Billionaire's Social Media Comment

19. 5. 2026, 17:07:00 · +0.0%

SpaceX IPO Before 2027 Priced at 91.6%, Reflecting Strong Market Confidence in Near-Term Public Listing

Business

SpaceX IPO Before 2027 Priced at 91.6%, Reflecting Strong Market Confidence in Near-Term Public Listing

19. 5. 2026, 14:05:50 · +0.0%

Bernard Arnault's Path to Year-End Wealth Crown Remains Unlikely at 1.1% Odds

Business

Bernard Arnault's Path to Year-End Wealth Crown Remains Unlikely at 1.1% Odds

19. 5. 2026, 23:09:48 · +0.0%

Strait of Hormuz Traffic Recovery Priced at Longshot Odds as 60-Ship Daily Threshold Looms

Business

Strait of Hormuz Traffic Recovery Priced at Longshot Odds as 60-Ship Daily Threshold Looms

19. 5. 2026, 11:04:39 · +0.0%

SpaceX IPO Ticker Markets: $SEX Symbol Assigned 1.6% Probability as Company Eyes Public Listing

Business

SpaceX IPO Ticker Markets: $SEX Symbol Assigned 1.6% Probability as Company Eyes Public Listing

19. 5. 2026, 08:03:32 · +0.0%

Fed Rate Hike in 2026 Seen as Low Probability at 17.5%, Reflecting Rate-Cut Expectations

Business

Fed Rate Hike in 2026 Seen as Low Probability at 17.5%, Reflecting Rate-Cut Expectations

19. 5. 2026, 08:03:16 · +0.0%

Fed Rate Hike Odds Minimal Ahead of June 2026 FOMC Meeting

Business

Fed Rate Hike Odds Minimal Ahead of June 2026 FOMC Meeting

19. 5. 2026, 03:27:41 · +0.0%

OpenAI IPO Market Values 60% Chance of $1 Trillion-Plus Debut Valuation

Business

OpenAI IPO Market Values 60% Chance of $1 Trillion-Plus Debut Valuation

19. 5. 2026, 00:26:37 · +0.0%

Strait of Hormuz Traffic Recovery Seen as Uncertain; Market Prices 45% Odds of Normalization by June

Business

Strait of Hormuz Traffic Recovery Seen as Uncertain; Market Prices 45% Odds of Normalization by June

18. 5. 2026, 21:25:13 · +0.0%