World News

Market Assigns 99.3% Probability to US Military Entry Into Iran by Year-End

World News

Market Assigns 99.3% Probability to US Military Entry Into Iran by Year-End

A prediction market is pricing in extremely low odds of active US military personnel physically entering Iranian territory by December 31, 2024, with ...

4. 7. 2026, 18:41:39 · +0.0%

Market Prices 100% Probability of Strike on Iran Nuclear Facility by March 2026

World News

Market Prices 100% Probability of Strike on Iran Nuclear Facility by March 2026

A prediction market on whether Israel or the U.S. will conduct a kinetic military strike against Iran's Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center is trading a...

4. 7. 2026, 18:11:00 · +0.0%

China-Taiwan Military Clash Odds Hold Steady at 8.5% Through 2026

World News

China-Taiwan Military Clash Odds Hold Steady at 8.5% Through 2026

Prediction markets are pricing a low but meaningful 8.5% probability of direct military engagement between Chinese and Taiwanese forces over the next ...

4. 7. 2026, 15:09:48 · +0.0%

U.S. Greenland Invasion Odds Remain Low at 6.5% Despite Trump Administration Interest

World News

U.S. Greenland Invasion Odds Remain Low at 6.5% Despite Trump Administration Interest

4. 7. 2026, 12:08:29 · +0.0%

Epstein Alive Bet Holds Steady at 4% Despite High Trading Volume

World News

Epstein Alive Bet Holds Steady at 4% Despite High Trading Volume

4. 7. 2026, 11:38:19 · +0.0%

Iran Leadership Change Market Prices Mojtaba Khamenei Succession Risk at One-in-Three Odds

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Iran Leadership Change Market Prices Mojtaba Khamenei Succession Risk at One-in-Three Odds

4. 7. 2026, 11:38:06 · +0.0%

Israel-Hezbollah Ceasefire Extension Trades at Certainty as April 16 Agreement Takes Hold

World News

Israel-Hezbollah Ceasefire Extension Trades at Certainty as April 16 Agreement Takes Hold

4. 7. 2026, 08:37:00 · +0.0%

US-Iran Nuclear Deal Odds Hold Steady at 53.5% Through 2026

World News

US-Iran Nuclear Deal Odds Hold Steady at 53.5% Through 2026

4. 7. 2026, 05:36:07 · +0.0%

US Greenland Acquisition Market Holds at 14% Odds, Reflects Geopolitical Uncertainty

World News

US Greenland Acquisition Market Holds at 14% Odds, Reflects Geopolitical Uncertainty

4. 7. 2026, 05:05:10 · +0.0%

U.S. Cuba Invasion Market Priced at 26.5% Probability; Geopolitical Tensions Remain Low

World News

U.S. Cuba Invasion Market Priced at 26.5% Probability; Geopolitical Tensions Remain Low

4. 7. 2026, 02:34:34 · +0.0%

China-Japan Military Clash Odds Hold Steady at 14% Through 2026

World News

China-Japan Military Clash Odds Hold Steady at 14% Through 2026

3. 7. 2026, 23:33:06 · +0.0%

Iran Nuclear Weapon by 2026 Priced at 9.6% in Prediction Market

World News

Iran Nuclear Weapon by 2026 Priced at 9.6% in Prediction Market

3. 7. 2026, 18:00:25 · +0.0%

LDPR Given 5% Chance of Gaining Most Seats in 2026 Russian Parliamentary Election

World News

LDPR Given 5% Chance of Gaining Most Seats in 2026 Russian Parliamentary Election

3. 7. 2026, 15:59:33 · +0.0%

Asselineau Holds Minimal Support in 2027 French Presidential Market at 0.5%

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Asselineau Holds Minimal Support in 2027 French Presidential Market at 0.5%

3. 7. 2026, 12:58:34 · +0.0%

Iran Succession Market Prices High Odds for Mojtaba Khamenei as 2026 Approaches

World News

Iran Succession Market Prices High Odds for Mojtaba Khamenei as 2026 Approaches

3. 7. 2026, 09:57:32 · +0.0%

Israel Striking 3+ Countries in 2026 Priced at 35% Odds; Market Reflects Regional Tensions and Historical Precedent

World News

Israel Striking 3+ Countries in 2026 Priced at 35% Odds; Market Reflects Regional Tensions and Historical Precedent

3. 7. 2026, 06:55:34 · +0.0%

Iran invasion odds held steady at 30.5% through 2026 as traders weigh geopolitical risks

World News

Iran invasion odds held steady at 30.5% through 2026 as traders weigh geopolitical risks

3. 7. 2026, 06:25:24 · +0.0%

Netanyahu Exit Before 2027 Priced at Minimal Risk in Prediction Markets

World News

Netanyahu Exit Before 2027 Priced at Minimal Risk in Prediction Markets

3. 7. 2026, 03:23:31 · +0.0%

African nations given 3.2% chance to win 2026 FIFA World Cup

World News

African nations given 3.2% chance to win 2026 FIFA World Cup

3. 7. 2026, 00:22:17 · +0.0%

Ukraine NATO membership by 2026 priced at just 3.2%, reflecting structural barriers to swift accession

World News

Ukraine NATO membership by 2026 priced at just 3.2%, reflecting structural barriers to swift accession

2. 7. 2026, 21:21:07 · +0.0%

Market prices US military entry into Iran as highly unlikely by year-end

World News

Market prices US military entry into Iran as highly unlikely by year-end

2. 7. 2026, 18:19:57 · +0.0%

Prediction Market Prices Iran Nuclear Facility Strike as Certainty Through March 2026

World News

Prediction Market Prices Iran Nuclear Facility Strike as Certainty Through March 2026

2. 7. 2026, 17:19:09 · +0.0%

China-Taiwan Military Clash Odds Hold Steady at 8.5% Through 2026

World News

China-Taiwan Military Clash Odds Hold Steady at 8.5% Through 2026

2. 7. 2026, 14:48:04 · +0.0%

Greenland Military Invasion Odds Hold Steady at 6.5% Despite Diplomatic Tensions

World News

Greenland Military Invasion Odds Hold Steady at 6.5% Despite Diplomatic Tensions

2. 7. 2026, 11:46:58 · +0.0%