World News

Tarcisio de Freitas's 2026 Brazilian Presidential Bid Priced at Minimal Odds

World News

Tarcisio de Freitas's 2026 Brazilian Presidential Bid Priced at Minimal Odds

Prediction markets assign a 0.4% probability to São Paulo Governor Tarcisio de Freitas winning Brazil's 2026 presidential election, reflecting signif...

4. 4. 2026, 10:07:45 · -63.2%

Toroczkai Given Negligible Odds in 2026 Hungarian Prime Minister Race

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Toroczkai Given Negligible Odds in 2026 Hungarian Prime Minister Race

László Toroczkai, leader of the far-right Mi Hazánk party, is priced at just 0.1% to become Hungary's next Prime Minister following the April 2026 ...

4. 4. 2026, 07:06:17 · +0.0%

US-Iran Nuclear Deal by Mid-2026 Priced at 23.5%, Reflecting Low Diplomatic Momentum

World News

US-Iran Nuclear Deal by Mid-2026 Priced at 23.5%, Reflecting Low Diplomatic Momentum

Prediction markets currently assign a 23.5% probability to a US-Iran nuclear agreement by June 30, 2026, suggesting traders view a near-term deal as u...

4. 4. 2026, 04:05:09 · +0.0%

Jobbik Given Minimal Odds to Lead Hungary's 2026 Parliament

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Jobbik Given Minimal Odds to Lead Hungary's 2026 Parliament

4. 4. 2026, 03:34:44 · -50.0%

Prediction Market Signals Sharp Rise in US Military Intervention Risk in Iran

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Prediction Market Signals Sharp Rise in US Military Intervention Risk in Iran

3. 4. 2026, 12:56:34 · +24.4%

Prediction Market Prices 85.5% Probability of 8+ Magnitude-7.0 Earthquakes by Mid-2026

World News

Prediction Market Prices 85.5% Probability of 8+ Magnitude-7.0 Earthquakes by Mid-2026

4. 4. 2026, 00:33:32 · +0.0%

Grenell as Venezuela Leader by End-2026 Priced at 0.2%, Reflecting Steep Hurdles to US Influence

World News

Grenell as Venezuela Leader by End-2026 Priced at 0.2%, Reflecting Steep Hurdles to US Influence

3. 4. 2026, 23:32:14 · +200.0%

Iran-Israel Conflict Resolution Seen as Highly Unlikely by April 15, Markets Price in 5% Odds

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Iran-Israel Conflict Resolution Seen as Highly Unlikely by April 15, Markets Price in 5% Odds

3. 4. 2026, 08:23:30 · -40.6%

US-Iran Ceasefire Odds Fall to 6.5% as April 15 Deadline Looms

World News

US-Iran Ceasefire Odds Fall to 6.5% as April 15 Deadline Looms

3. 4. 2026, 05:22:21 · -43.5%

Iranian Regime Stability Market Prices 13.5% Collapse Risk Within 18 Months

World News

Iranian Regime Stability Market Prices 13.5% Collapse Risk Within 18 Months

3. 4. 2026, 12:55:33 · +17.4%

Autain's 2027 French Presidential Bid Priced at Less Than 1%, Reflecting Long-Shot Status

World News

Autain's 2027 French Presidential Bid Priced at Less Than 1%, Reflecting Long-Shot Status

3. 4. 2026, 11:24:43 · +85.7%

Israel Multi-Country Strike Market Prices Low Probability Despite Regional Tensions

World News

Israel Multi-Country Strike Market Prices Low Probability Despite Regional Tensions

3. 4. 2026, 02:14:19 · -33.0%

Trump Iran Operations Resolution Odds Slip to 44.5% as April Deadline Approaches

World News

Trump Iran Operations Resolution Odds Slip to 44.5% as April Deadline Approaches

2. 4. 2026, 14:47:18 · -18.3%

Prediction Market Signals Sharp Rise in Assessed Odds of U.S. or Israeli Strike on Iran Nuclear Site

World News

Prediction Market Signals Sharp Rise in Assessed Odds of U.S. or Israeli Strike on Iran Nuclear Site

2. 4. 2026, 21:34:24 · +76.1%

Epstein Alive Market Trades at 4.6% as Conspiracy Theories Persist

World News

Epstein Alive Market Trades at 4.6% as Conspiracy Theories Persist

3. 4. 2026, 01:44:10 · -2.2%

Yoo Jeong-bok Given Minimal Odds in 2026 Incheon Mayoral Race

World News

Yoo Jeong-bok Given Minimal Odds in 2026 Incheon Mayoral Race

3. 4. 2026, 00:43:35 · -3.9%

Iran nuclear deal odds drop to 38.5% as diplomatic path narrows before 2027

World News

Iran nuclear deal odds drop to 38.5% as diplomatic path narrows before 2027

2. 4. 2026, 11:15:39 · -14.4%

U.S.-Iran Military Conflict Odds At Even Money As Prediction Market Shows Heightened Uncertainty

World News

U.S.-Iran Military Conflict Odds At Even Money As Prediction Market Shows Heightened Uncertainty

2. 4. 2026, 10:45:01 · +7.4%

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by April 2026 Priced at 1.7%, Reflecting Entrenched Conflict

World News

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by April 2026 Priced at 1.7%, Reflecting Entrenched Conflict

2. 4. 2026, 21:29:24 · -26.7%

Iran Nuclear Deal Odds Slide as Diplomatic Path Narrows Toward Mid-2026

World News

Iran Nuclear Deal Odds Slide as Diplomatic Path Narrows Toward Mid-2026

1. 4. 2026, 19:18:08 · -25.8%

Ukraine Election Odds Surge to 35.5% as Market Bets on 2025-2026 Ballot Timeline

World News

Ukraine Election Odds Surge to 35.5% as Market Bets on 2025-2026 Ballot Timeline

2. 4. 2026, 17:53:48 · +73.2%

China-Taiwan Military Action Seen as Remote Possibility Through Mid-2026, Market Priced at 3.1%

World News

China-Taiwan Military Action Seen as Remote Possibility Through Mid-2026, Market Priced at 3.1%

2. 4. 2026, 16:17:41 · -11.6%

Iran Nuclear Weapon by 2027 Priced at 10.5%, Reflects Diplomatic Uncertainty and Technical Barriers

World News

Iran Nuclear Weapon by 2027 Priced at 10.5%, Reflects Diplomatic Uncertainty and Technical Barriers

2. 4. 2026, 11:46:04 · +0.0%

Israeli Litani River Crossing Odds Fall 16 Points as Regional Tensions Shift

World News

Israeli Litani River Crossing Odds Fall 16 Points as Regional Tensions Shift

2. 4. 2026, 11:40:24 · -33.0%