Politics News

Asselineau 2027 French Presidential Bid Priced at 0.5% in Prediction Markets

Politics

Asselineau 2027 French Presidential Bid Priced at 0.5% in Prediction Markets

François Asselineau, leader of the far-right UPR party, is assigned a 0.5% probability of winning the 2027 French presidential election in prediction...

20. 5. 2026, 17:24:26 · +0.0%

Seoul Mayoral Race 2026: Seo Young-kyo's Odds Minimal at 0.2% Despite High Trading Volume

Politics

Seoul Mayoral Race 2026: Seo Young-kyo's Odds Minimal at 0.2% Despite High Trading Volume

Seo Young-kyo is trading at just 0.2% probability to win Seoul's June 2026 mayoral election, suggesting market participants view his candidacy as a lo...

20. 5. 2026, 14:23:05 · +0.0%

California Billionaire Wealth Tax Faces Uncertain Path to 2026 Ballot, Markets Price at 44.5% Pass Probability

Politics

California Billionaire Wealth Tax Faces Uncertain Path to 2026 Ballot, Markets Price at 44.5% Pass Probability

A proposed one-time wealth tax on California billionaires is trading at 44.5% odds of passage in the November 2026 election, reflecting significant po...

20. 5. 2026, 11:21:53 · +0.0%

US Alien Confirmation Market Holds at 17.5% Odds Through End of 2026

Politics

US Alien Confirmation Market Holds at 17.5% Odds Through End of 2026

20. 5. 2026, 08:19:56 · +0.0%

Iran Military Operations End Announcement Priced at Certainty in Prediction Market

Politics

Iran Military Operations End Announcement Priced at Certainty in Prediction Market

20. 5. 2026, 04:42:14 · +0.0%

Trump Removal Market Holds Steady at 13.5% Probability Through 2026

Politics

Trump Removal Market Holds Steady at 13.5% Probability Through 2026

20. 5. 2026, 01:41:02 · +0.0%

Greenland Sovereignty Market Holds at 14% as Traders Weigh Acquisition Likelihood

Politics

Greenland Sovereignty Market Holds at 14% as Traders Weigh Acquisition Likelihood

19. 5. 2026, 22:39:10 · +0.0%

Tom Steyer Seen as Narrow Favorite in 2026 California Governor Race

Politics

Tom Steyer Seen as Narrow Favorite in 2026 California Governor Race

19. 5. 2026, 19:38:01 · +0.0%

UK Betting Markets Price Starmer Exit Risk at 40% Through Mid-2026

Politics

UK Betting Markets Price Starmer Exit Risk at 40% Through Mid-2026

19. 5. 2026, 16:36:36 · +0.0%

Fed Rate Hike Seen as Highly Unlikely at July 2026 Meeting; Markets Pricing Minimal 25 bp Move

Politics

Fed Rate Hike Seen as Highly Unlikely at July 2026 Meeting; Markets Pricing Minimal 25 bp Move

19. 5. 2026, 14:05:35 · +0.0%

Trump Removal Markets Price Minimal Risk of Presidential Exit by Mid-2026

Politics

Trump Removal Markets Price Minimal Risk of Presidential Exit by Mid-2026

19. 5. 2026, 11:04:23 · +0.0%

Trump Nobel Peace Prize Odds Hold Steady at 6.5% as 2026 Award Remains Uncertain

Politics

Trump Nobel Peace Prize Odds Hold Steady at 6.5% as 2026 Award Remains Uncertain

19. 5. 2026, 08:03:02 · +0.0%

Iran Regime Collapse Market Priced at 6.5%, Reflects Low Near-Term Expectations for Systemic Change

Politics

Iran Regime Collapse Market Priced at 6.5%, Reflects Low Near-Term Expectations for Systemic Change

19. 5. 2026, 03:27:27 · +0.0%

Al Mina Given Minimal Odds in 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary

Politics

Al Mina Given Minimal Odds in 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary

19. 5. 2026, 00:26:20 · +0.0%

Shelton Fed Chair Confirmation Odds Remain Negligible at 0.3% Despite High Market Volume

Politics

Shelton Fed Chair Confirmation Odds Remain Negligible at 0.3% Despite High Market Volume

18. 5. 2026, 20:54:45 · +0.0%

Iran Uranium Transfer Market Priced at 8.5% Odds Through May 2026

Politics

Iran Uranium Transfer Market Priced at 8.5% Odds Through May 2026

18. 5. 2026, 17:53:38 · +0.0%

LDPR Long Shot in 2026 Russian Parliamentary Elections at 5% Odds

Politics

LDPR Long Shot in 2026 Russian Parliamentary Elections at 5% Odds

18. 5. 2026, 14:52:27 · +0.0%

Asselineau given negligible odds in 2027 French presidential race

Politics

Asselineau given negligible odds in 2027 French presidential race

18. 5. 2026, 11:51:18 · +0.0%

Seo Young-kyo Given Minimal Odds in 2026 Seoul Mayor Race

Politics

Seo Young-kyo Given Minimal Odds in 2026 Seoul Mayor Race

18. 5. 2026, 08:50:11 · +0.0%

California Billionaire Wealth Tax Proposal Seen as Evenly Matched Bet Ahead of 2026 Election

Politics

California Billionaire Wealth Tax Proposal Seen as Evenly Matched Bet Ahead of 2026 Election

18. 5. 2026, 05:49:02 · +0.0%

Trump Military Operations Against Iran Seen as Certain to End by May 31st

Politics

Trump Military Operations Against Iran Seen as Certain to End by May 31st

18. 5. 2026, 02:47:29 · +0.0%

Trump Removal Market Prices 13.5% Probability of Early Presidential Exit by End-2026

Politics

Trump Removal Market Prices 13.5% Probability of Early Presidential Exit by End-2026

17. 5. 2026, 23:46:00 · +0.0%

Iranian Regime Collapse by 2027 Priced at 18.5% as Market Weighs Structural Vulnerabilities Against Regime Resilience

Politics

Iranian Regime Collapse by 2027 Priced at 18.5% as Market Weighs Structural Vulnerabilities Against Regime Resilience

17. 5. 2026, 20:44:51 · +0.0%

Tom Steyer Given 43% Odds in 2026 California Governor's Race

Politics

Tom Steyer Given 43% Odds in 2026 California Governor's Race

17. 5. 2026, 17:43:22 · +0.0%