Politics News

Politics

US Greenland Acquisition Market Prices 15.5% Probability of Territorial Control by End-2026

A prediction market on whether the United States will acquire control of Greenlandic territory by year-end 2026 is currently priced at 15.5%, reflecti...

4. 4. 2026, 08:37:05 · +6.9%

Politics

Iranian Regime Collapse Seen as Unlikely Before 2027, Markets Price 26.5% Probability

Prediction markets are pricing a roughly one-in-four chance that Iran's Islamic Republic will fall before the end of 2026, reflecting elevated but sti...

4. 4. 2026, 05:35:42 · +8.2%

Politics

Iranian Regime Collapse by April 2026 Priced at 3.5% in Prediction Market

Prediction markets assign a 3.5% probability to the fall of Iran's Islamic Republic by April 30, 2026, reflecting widespread skepticism about near-ter...

4. 4. 2026, 02:33:54 · +7.8%

Politics

Judy Shelton Confirmation as Fed Chair Trades at 1.5% Odds, Well Below Market Consensus

3. 4. 2026, 23:32:29 · -3.3%

⚡ HCSMPolitics

Prediction Market Surges to 99.9% on Bondi Exit, Signaling Imminent Trump Administration Departure

2. 4. 2026, 18:31:36 · +42.6%

Politics

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Confirmation Odds Jump to 67.5% on Market Momentum

3. 4. 2026, 23:02:34 · +29.8%

Politics

Mauricio Cardenas Given Minimal Odds in 2026 Colombian Presidential Race

3. 4. 2026, 13:26:13 · +0.0%

Politics

Al Mina's Republican Senate Nomination Odds Collapse to 1% Amid Virginia Primary Uncertainty

3. 4. 2026, 02:44:58 · -80.2%

Politics

Trump China Visit Market Prices Diplomatic Trip as Highly Unlikely by April 2026

3. 4. 2026, 09:54:13 · -5.7%

Politics

Trump Holds 7.5% Odds for 2026 Nobel Peace Prize; Market Reflects Skepticism on Award Prospects

3. 4. 2026, 06:53:08 · +0.0%

Politics

Trump Removal Market Holds at 5.5% Probability Through Mid-2026

2. 4. 2026, 22:24:00 · +0.0%

Politics

Iranian Regime Stability Market Drops 10 Points as Traders Reassess Overthrow Timeline

1. 4. 2026, 21:48:52 · -31.7%

Politics

LDPR Given Long Odds to Win Most Seats in Russia's 2026 Parliamentary Election

2. 4. 2026, 17:22:20 · -1.3%

Politics

AfD Given Long-Shot Odds in 2026 Berlin State Election, Despite Party's Eastern Strength

2. 4. 2026, 13:16:33 · -0.9%

Politics

Prediction Market Signals Sharp Pullback in Expected US Strikes on Somalia

30. 3. 2026, 07:26:07 · -84.7%

Politics

Tom Steyer given 11.6% odds in 2026 California governor race

2. 4. 2026, 10:14:26 · +0.4%

Politics

Chong Won-oh's Seoul Mayoral Odds Tumble 16.5 Points Amid High-Volume Trading

1. 4. 2026, 03:57:09 · -22.1%

Politics

California Billionaire Wealth Tax Proposition Faces Uncertain Path to 2026 Ballot

2. 4. 2026, 07:13:03 · +3.1%

Politics

Iranian Regime Collapse Market Slides to 10.5% as Geopolitical Risk Recedes

1. 4. 2026, 12:17:41 · -36.4%

Politics

Trump Removal Before 2027 Priced at 15.5%, Down Slightly From Prior Day

2. 4. 2026, 04:08:19 · -6.1%

Politics

Greenland Acquisition Market Prices 15.5% Odds of U.S. Control by End-2026

2. 4. 2026, 00:50:51 · -6.1%

Politics

Alien Disclosure Odds Climb to 16.5% as UFO Credibility Debate Intensifies

1. 4. 2026, 18:47:29 · +0.0%

Politics

Iran Regime Collapse Odds Fall to 3.4% as Market Recalibrates Near-Term Expectations

1. 4. 2026, 15:45:54 · -39.1%

Politics

Trump China Visit Odds Remain Minimal at 1.7% Despite High Trading Volume

1. 4. 2026, 09:15:09 · -10.8%