Politics
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
0.6%
→
46.9%+7716.7%
The Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) has experienced a dramatic 46.3 percentage-point surge in prediction market odds for winning the most seats in the March 2026 parliamentary election, jumping from 0.6% to 46.9% on $2.47 million in volume, signaling major shifts in electoral expectations.
29. 3. 2026, 09:57:54
Politics
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
99.1%
→
71.9%-27.4%
Prediction market odds for the Freedom Movement winning the most seats in Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary election plummeted 27.2 percentage points to 71.9% on high trading volume of $2.06 million, signaling a material shift in electoral expectations for the Adriatic nation.
29. 3. 2026, 09:57:08
Politics
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
18.5%
→
35.0%+89.2%
A high-volume prediction market on Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado's potential return to Venezuela jumped nearly 17 percentage points to 35%, suggesting traders are pricing in increased likelihood of her entering the country by end of April 2026.
29. 3. 2026, 01:40:54
Politics
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
25.0%
→
41.0%+64.0%
Prediction market odds for a Trump-Xi Jinping conversation in March 2026 surged 16 percentage points to 41%, signaling trader expectations of renewed high-level U.S.-China diplomatic contact amid shifting geopolitical conditions.
28. 3. 2026, 23:37:31
Politics
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
48.5%
→
29.5%-39.2%
Prediction market odds for Genter Drummond winning Oklahoma's 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary have declined 19 percentage points to 29.5%, signaling either increased competition or market reassessment of his viability as the race takes shape.
28. 3. 2026, 23:26:31
Politics
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
54.9%
→
39.3%-28.4%
Prediction market odds for a Donald Trump endorsement of Senator John Cornyn's 2026 Texas Senate re-election bid have declined sharply to 39.3% from 54.9%, suggesting traders view such an endorsement as less probable despite Cornyn's establishment Republican standing.
28. 3. 2026, 20:41:41
Politics
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?
45.3%
→
62.5%+38.1%
A prediction market tracking US strikes on Somalia in March 2026 has surged 17 percentage points to 62.5%, suggesting traders expect five or fewer incidents—a shift that may reflect changing geopolitical assessments or policy expectations under the current administration.
28. 3. 2026, 17:22:02
PoliticsWill Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
28.5%
→
10.0%-64.9%
Charles McCall's probability of winning the 2026 Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial primary has collapsed to 10% from 28.5%, signaling significant market reassessment of the former House speaker's viability in the race.
28. 3. 2026, 16:12:41
⚡ HCSM Politics
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?
39.0%
→
2.6%-93.5%
Prediction market odds for a Department of Homeland Security shutdown ending by March 31, 2026 collapsed to 2.6% from 39.0%, signaling traders now expect the funding impasse to extend beyond the near-term window following recent developments in negotiations.
28. 3. 2026, 16:08:44
Politics
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?
6.4%
→
24.3%+282.7%
Prediction market odds for a US military strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026 jumped from 6.4% to 24.3% on increased trading volume, suggesting market participants are pricing in heightened likelihood of escalation in the region.
28. 3. 2026, 16:07:54
⚡ HCSM PoliticsWill the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
47.9%
→
97.3%+103.1%
Odds that the Department of Homeland Security shutdown will end after March 31, 2026, have jumped to 97.3% from 47.9%, suggesting markets now expect the funding impasse to be resolved well before the deadline.
28. 3. 2026, 16:01:52
PoliticsWill there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?
11.8%
→
30.8%+160.6%
A prediction market on US strikes in Somalia shifted sharply higher to 30.8% from 11.8%, reflecting growing expectations for military action or market mechanics ahead of the March 31 resolution deadline. However, modest trading volume suggests the movement may reflect scheduled settlement procedures rather than new geopolitical developments.
27. 3. 2026, 16:08:56
PoliticsWill the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?
54.3%
→
38.0%-30.0%
A significant drop in betting odds for a late-March resolution of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown suggests negotiations are stalling, with traders now pricing in a longer impasse beyond the initial March 28-31 window.
27. 3. 2026, 08:06:11
PoliticsWill the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?
12.1%
→
27.9%+130.2%
Betting odds on a Department of Homeland Security shutdown ending between March 24-27, 2026 surged to 27.9% from 12.1% on substantial trading volume, suggesting market participants expect imminent resolution in that timeframe following weeks of funding negotiations.
27. 3. 2026, 07:18:02
PoliticsWill the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
51.1%
→
35.4%-30.6%
A prediction market tracking the Department of Homeland Security shutdown that began February 14, 2026 shifted sharply toward an earlier resolution, with traders moving from 51% odds of ending after March 31 to 65% odds of ending before that date, signaling changed expectations about negotiations.
27. 3. 2026, 06:51:28
PoliticsWill the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?
20.5%
→
41.2%+100.5%
Prediction market odds for a Department of Homeland Security shutdown resolution between March 28-31, 2026 nearly doubled to 41.2% from 20.5%, signaling market participants expect negotiations may conclude within that timeframe following the shutdown that began February 14.
26. 3. 2026, 19:24:31
PoliticsWill the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
67.6%
→
41.8%-38.2%
Prediction market odds that a Department of Homeland Security shutdown will continue beyond March 31, 2026 fell nearly 26 percentage points to 41.8%, signaling traders increasingly expect the funding dispute to be resolved before the deadline.
26. 3. 2026, 18:51:31
Politics
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
4.0%
→
19.7%+397.5%
A prediction market tracking whether Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth will be the next Cabinet member to depart surged 15.7 percentage points to nearly 20% on substantial volume, suggesting bettors are reassessing the stability of his tenure in the Trump administration.
26. 3. 2026, 16:47:14
PoliticsWill the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?
6.7%
→
23.3%+247.0%
A significant surge in betting odds suggests the Department of Homeland Security shutdown that began February 14, 2026, will resolve between March 24-27, with the probability jumping from 6.7% to 23.3% amid $95,561 in trading volume.
26. 3. 2026, 16:41:39
PoliticsWill Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
67.0%
→
52.0%-22.4%
Prediction market odds on Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer leaving the Trump Cabinet before 2027 declined sharply to 52% from 67%, signaling improved confidence in her position within the administration despite recent Cabinet turbulence.
26. 3. 2026, 02:48:42