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Crypto

Ethereum All-Time High by End of 2026 Priced at 13.5% Probability

Market icon for Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

13.5% 13.5%+0.0%

Prediction markets assign just a 13.5% chance that Ethereum will reach a new all-time high on Binance before the end of 2026, reflecting skepticism about near-term price appreciation despite the multi-year timeframe.

Crypto

Bitcoin Seen as Underdog Against Gold for 2026 Performance, Trading at 36.5% Odds

Market icon for Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

36.5% 36.5%+0.0%

Prediction markets currently assign Bitcoin only a 36.5% chance of outperforming gold in 2026, reflecting skepticism about cryptocurrency's ability to beat the traditional safe-haven asset over a full calendar year. The pricing suggests investors expect gold to deliver stronger returns or see gold as the safer bet for the year ahead.

Crypto

Ethereum's Top-Two Status at Risk: Market Prices 40% Chance of Flip in 2026

Market icon for Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

40.5% 40.5%+0.0%

Prediction markets are pricing a 40.5% probability that Ethereum will fall outside the top two cryptocurrencies by market cap during 2026, reflecting growing uncertainty about the competitive landscape and Ethereum's ability to maintain its long-standing position.

Crypto

Bitcoin $150k by mid-2026 priced at 1.4% in prediction market

Market icon for Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

1.4% 1.4%+0.0%

Prediction market traders assess only a 1.4% probability that Bitcoin will touch $150,000 on Binance by June 30, 2026, implying skepticism about such a rally over the next 18 months despite the cryptocurrency's historical volatility.

Crypto

Digital Asset Market Clarity Act commands 68% passage odds through 2026

Market icon for Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

68.0% 68.0%+0.0%

Prediction markets are pricing a two-in-three chance that the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act will become law by end of 2026, reflecting broad industry optimism despite legislative uncertainties. The $596,000-volume market shows sustained confidence in the bill's prospects amid shifting congressional dynamics.

Crypto

Stablecoin Market Cap at $500B by 2027 Seen as Unlikely at 8.5% Probability

Market icon for Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

8.5% 8.5%+0.0%

Prediction markets are pricing a substantial headwind for stablecoin growth, assigning only an 8.5% probability that the sector will reach a $500 billion market cap by the end of 2026. The low odds reflect skepticism about the pace of adoption needed to triple the current market size within roughly two years.

Crypto

China Bitcoin Legalization Seen as Highly Unlikely by 2027, Market Prices at 4.3%

Market icon for Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

4.3% 4.3%+0.0%

A prediction market currently prices the probability of China announcing legal bitcoin purchases for its citizens by end-2026 at just 4.3%, reflecting deep skepticism about Beijing reversing its longstanding crypto ban despite significant trading volume in the market.

Crypto

Hyperliquid Binance Listing Viewed as Modest Proposition, 34% Odds Reflect Uncertainty

Market icon for Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?

Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?

34.0% 34.0%+0.0%

Prediction markets are pricing a 34% probability that Hyperliquid's native token will achieve a Binance spot listing by the end of 2026, suggesting skepticism about near-term exchange approval despite the project's prominence in the decentralized derivatives space.

Crypto

Bitcoin All-Time High by Mid-2026 Priced at Just 2.5% on Binance Spot Market

Market icon for Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

2.5% 2.5%+0.0%

Prediction markets are assigning minimal probability—2.5%—to Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high on Binance's BTC/USDT spot market by June 30, 2026, reflecting the steep technical barrier of surpassing previous peaks within an 18-month window.

Crypto

Bitcoin Market Values Satoshi Movement at 10% Probability for 2026

Market icon for Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

10.1% 10.1%+0.0%

Prediction markets are pricing a 10.1% chance that Satoshi Nakamoto will move any Bitcoin in 2026, reflecting the long-standing assumption that the Bitcoin founder's holdings remain dormant despite their massive theoretical value.

Crypto

Ethereum All-Time High by End-2026 Priced at 13.5%, Reflecting Skepticism on Two-Year Rally

Market icon for Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

13.5% 13.5%+0.0%

Ethereum has a 13.5% implied probability of reaching a new all-time high on Binance by December 31, 2026, suggesting traders view a sustained two-year bull run as unlikely despite the asset's historical volatility. The low odds reflect current price levels relative to past peaks and the structural challenges facing crypto markets.

Crypto

Ethereum's Top-Two Ranking Seen as 40% Risk in 2026, as Altcoin Competition Intensifies

Market icon for Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

40.5% 40.5%+0.0%

Prediction markets assign a 40.5% probability that Ethereum will lose its position as either the first or second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization during 2026, reflecting growing uncertainty about the asset's dominance amid rising competition from layer-2 solutions and alternative blockchain platforms.

Crypto

Kraken IPO by End of 2026 Seen as Likely in Prediction Markets

Market icon for Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

65.5% 65.5%+0.0%

Prediction market traders are pricing in a 65.5% probability that cryptocurrency exchange Kraken will complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, reflecting moderate confidence in the company's public market ambitions despite regulatory uncertainty.

Crypto

USDC Depeg Risk Priced at 4.3% Through End of 2026

Market icon for USDC depeg by December 31?

USDC depeg by December 31?

4.3% 4.3%+0.0%

Prediction markets assess a 4.3% probability that USDC will fall below 98 cents for a full 24-hour period by the end of 2026, reflecting confidence in the stablecoin's stability despite historical precedent from other dollar-pegged assets.

Crypto

Bitcoin $150k Target by Mid-2026 Priced as Extreme Long Shot at 1.4% Odds

Market icon for Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

1.4% 1.4%+0.0%

Prediction markets are assigning just 1.4% probability to Bitcoin reaching $150,000 by June 30, 2026, implying traders view the roughly 240% rally from current levels as highly unlikely within the 18-month window despite the cryptocurrency's historical volatility.

Crypto

Bitcoin Given Even Odds Against Gold, S&P 500 in 2026 Performance Race

Market icon for Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

33.0% 33.0%+0.0%

A prediction market pricing Bitcoin's outperformance versus Gold and the S&P 500 in 2026 at 33%, suggesting traders see the three assets as roughly equivalent contenders, with traditional markets holding slight edge over cryptocurrency.