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Hezbollah Military Action Against Israel Surges to 80% Probability in Prediction Markets

A prediction market focused on potential Hezbollah military strikes against Israel on March 22, 2026 surged 46 percentage points to 79.8% odds on high volume, signaling market participants expect a significant escalation of Middle East hostilities on...

26. 3. 2026, 12:39:56 · +137.5%

World News

Prediction Market Surges on Israel-Lebanon Military Action Expectations for March 20

A prediction market contract on potential Israeli military strikes in Lebanon on March 20, 2026 jump...

25. 3. 2026, 23:08:45 · +82.7%

World News

Iran-Bahrain Strike Risk Falls Sharply in Prediction Markets as Geopolitical Tensions Ease

Prediction market odds on an Iranian strike against Bahrain in March collapsed to 42% from 83.5%, si...

26. 3. 2026, 11:26:22 · -49.7%

World News

Russia's Ternuvate Prospects Sink as Prediction Market Reassesses Ukraine Battlefield Dynamics

A prediction market tracking Russian military advances in Zaporizhzhya Oblast has collapsed from 94....

24. 3. 2026, 19:15:00 · -36.5%

World News

Prediction Market Signals Rising Odds of Israeli Strikes Against Four or More Countries in March 2026

A prediction market tracking the probability of Israel conducting aerial strikes against four or mor...

25. 3. 2026, 13:20:27 · +71.2%

Trump China Visit Odds Collapse to 11% as Prediction Market Signals Dimming Prospects

World News

Hezbollah Military Action Against Israel Surges to 80% Probability in Prediction Markets

Prediction Market Surges on Israel-Lebanon Military Action Expectations for March 20

Iran-Bahrain Strike Risk Falls Sharply in Prediction Markets as Geopolitical Tensions Ease

Russia's Ternuvate Prospects Sink as Prediction Market Reassesses Ukraine Battlefield Dynamics

Prediction Market Signals Rising Odds of Israeli Strikes Against Four or More Countries in March 2026

Trump China Visit Odds Collapse to 11% as Prediction Market Signals Dimming Prospects

Prediction Market Signals Reduced Risk of Hezbollah Strike on Israel March 22

Oil Market Sharply Raises Odds of Crude Breaching $95 by March 2026

Prediction Market Signals Rising Confidence in Russian Lyman Capture by April 30

Prediction Market Signals Rising Odds of Hezbollah Military Action Against Israel on April 7

Hezbollah Strike Probability Falls as Market Reassesses March 2026 Israel Conflict Risk

Iran-Israel Military Strike Odds Double to 32% on March 23 Prediction Market

US-Iran Diplomatic Meeting Odds Slump to 20% as March 2026 Deadline Looms

Prediction Markets Signal Sharp Uptick in Russian Strike Risk Against Kyiv by Late March

Pakistan Military Action Risk Against Afghanistan Surges to 50% in Prediction Market

Prediction Market Signals Increased Odds of Vance-Iran Diplomatic Meeting by April

Prediction Market Signals Reduced Odds of Iranian Strike on Iraq in March

Iran Military Strike Probability Doubles to 27.5% on March 23 Prediction Market

Prediction Market Shifts Toward US-Iran Ceasefire Before Leadership Change

Israeli Parliament Dissolution Odds Jump to 36% as Political Instability Signals Increase

Pakistan Seen Less Likely as Venue for Next US-Iran Diplomatic Talks

Pakistan Military Strike on Afghanistan Less Likely, Prediction Markets Signal De-escalation

Iran Military Strike Odds Lengthen as Prediction Market Signals De-escalation

Russia-Kyiv Strike Odds Jump 16.5 Points as Prediction Market Signals Elevated Near-Term Risk